Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009931 0.011967 0.014509 0.017989 0.022755 0.029256 0.039177
2024-10-20 0.007351 0.009598 0.012764 0.017782 0.026051 0.040279 0.070008
2024-10-27 0.006314 0.008718 0.012412 0.018974 0.031610 0.058720 0.139499
2024-11-03 0.005689 0.008211 0.012373 0.020524 0.038673 0.087686 0.318105
2024-11-10 0.005235 0.007842 0.012412 0.022180 0.047199 0.133992 0.921882
2024-11-17 0.004688 0.007197 0.011778 0.022192 0.051801 0.178478 2.718525
2024-11-24 0.004216 0.006596 0.011086 0.021810 0.055132 0.228825 11.815566
2024-12-01 0.003719 0.005878 0.010022 0.020197 0.053456 0.249413 49.859370
2024-12-08 0.003358 0.005366 0.009291 0.019219 0.053554 0.287538 17307.541733
2024-12-15 0.003125 0.005063 0.008942 0.019145 0.057228 0.379218 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002968 0.004884 0.008828 0.019683 0.064178 0.572216 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002801 0.004667 0.008592 0.019801 0.069532 0.831892 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002547 0.004275 0.007957 0.018711 0.068856 1.016541 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002371 0.004024 0.007618 0.018497 0.073485 1.614013 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002292 0.003961 0.007713 0.019756 0.089973 5.169241 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002233 0.003933 0.007884 0.021398 0.114337 57.143065 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002178 0.003905 0.008052 0.023155 0.147332 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002065 0.003735 0.007814 0.023168 0.162740 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001950 0.003550 0.007506 0.022763 0.172674 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001804 0.003285 0.006944 0.021051 0.159443 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001692 0.003088 0.006551 0.020016 0.155813 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001619 0.002973 0.006375 0.019937 0.168713 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001569 0.002909 0.006337 0.020507 0.197541 NaN NaN